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Radar Score

How the Radar Score Works

A composite 0–100 investment signal built from five objective data points. Designed to help foreign investors quickly identify where to spend research time — not where to spend money.

What is the Radar Score?

The Radar Score is TokyoInvestor’s composite investment signal — a number from 0 to 100 that summarises how a property compares across five objective factors that matter most to long-term property investors in Tokyo.

It is not a recommendation to buy. It is a starting point for deeper research.

Score Tiers

Strong Buy

70–100 points

Strong across most signals. Worth deeper research.

Consider

50–69 points

Mixed signals. Some strong factors offset by weaknesses.

Caution

0–49 points

Multiple risk factors present. Review the breakdown carefully.


The Five Signals

Maximum 100 base points across five components, with size-penalty and price-ceiling adjustments applied after.

1

Price per m² vs Ward Median

25 pts

We calculate each listing’s price per m² (floor area first; land area as fallback) and compare it to the ward’s median price per m² from our benchmark data (live MLIT transaction data coming soon). If floor area is unavailable, a neutral 10pts is applied.

More than 20% below ward median/m²25
10–20% below ward median/m²15
Within 10% of ward median/m²10
10–20% above ward median/m²3
More than 20% above ward median/m²0

Why it matters

Comparing total price to median total price is misleading — it penalises large properties and rewards small overpriced ones. Price per m² normalises for size, making the comparison meaningful.

2

Station Walk Time

20 pts

Tokyo property values are tightly correlated with walking distance to the nearest train station. We use the walk time listed on SUUMO.

5 minutes or less20
6–10 minutes15
11–15 minutes10
16–20 minutes5
Over 20 minutes0

Why it matters

Station proximity directly affects both resale value and rental yield. In Tokyo, each additional minute of walk time meaningfully impacts price.

3

Building Age

20 pts

Japan’s 1981 building code revision (新耐震基準, New Seismic Standard) is the most important structural dividing line. Post-2000 buildings meet modern standards.

2020 or newer20
2010–201915
2000–200910
1990–19995
Pre-19903

Why it matters

Older buildings carry higher maintenance costs, more complex rebuild rules, and stricter financing constraints for foreign buyers. Pre-1990 buildings can still be good investments — this signal reflects structural risk, not absolute value.

4

Ownership Type

20 pts

Whether the property comes with full land ownership (所有権 freehold) or a ground lease arrangement (借地権 leasehold) significantly affects long-term value and financing options.

Freehold (所有権)20
Leasehold (借地権)0

Why it matters

Leasehold properties in Japan come with land lease fees, fixed-term contracts, and significantly reduced resale markets. For foreign investors without local legal support, freehold is strongly preferable.

5

Rebuild Permission

15 pts

Whether the existing building can legally be demolished and rebuilt. Non-rebuildable properties (再建築不可) typically face road frontage restrictions under current building codes.

Rebuild permitted15
Rebuild restrictions apply0

Why it matters

Many older Tokyo properties sit on land classified as 再建築不可 (non-rebuildable) — typically because the road frontage is too narrow under current codes. These properties cannot be demolished and rebuilt, limiting long-term value and making financing difficult.

Adjustments

Applied after the five signals are summed. These prevent micro-properties and ultra-premium listings from scoring deceptively high.

Size Penalty

Up to −15 pts

The score penalises small properties at high price points, which typically have limited resale audiences in Tokyo. Micro-properties appeal to a narrow buyer pool and carry higher vacancy risk for rental investors.

Floor area < 25 m²−15 pts
Floor area < 40 m² AND price > ¥5,000万−10 pts
All other sizes0 pts

Why it matters

A 20m² studio near Shinjuku might be freehold, near a station, and newly built — scoring well on all five signals. But if it’s priced at ¥6,000万, it’s expensive per m² and has a very thin resale market. The penalty reflects this structural risk.

Ultra-Premium Price Ceiling

Cap at 65

Properties priced above ¥200,000,000 (¥2億) cannot score above 65, keeping them in the “Consider” tier at best. Very expensive properties have thinner buyer pools, longer typical exit timelines, and higher sensitivity to macro conditions.

Why it matters

This is not a statement that expensive properties are bad investments. It reflects the additional due diligence required at high price points — liquidity, financing options for foreign buyers, and exit market depth all need careful verification.


Important Limitations

Ward data is estimated

Until our MLIT API integration goes live, price comparisons are based on benchmark estimates, not verified transaction records.

The score is purely quantitative

It cannot assess renovation quality, neighbourhood character, management company reputation, or dozens of other factors experienced buyers consider.

A low score is not a red flag — it is a prompt

A pre-1990 leasehold property near Shibuya station might score 35 and still be a compelling buy for the right investor with the right legal team.

Always verify independently

Use a licensed real estate agent (宅建士), a judicial scrivener (司法書士), and ideally a building inspector before committing to any purchase.

Why We Built This

Most Tokyo property portals show you listings. They don’t help you compare them. As a foreign investor, you are operating in a language you may not read, in a legal system you may not understand, evaluating buildings under seismic codes you have never encountered.

The Radar Score gives you a fast, honest signal to decide where to spend your research time — not where to spend your money. That decision still takes a professional.

Data sourced from SUUMO public listings. Ward benchmarks based on internal estimates; live MLIT transaction data coming soon. Last updated: June 2026.

TokyoInvestor is not a licensed real estate brokerage. This score is for research purposes only.