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Pulse Score

How the Pulse Score Works

A smart 0–100 investment signal built from seven objective data points. Designed to help foreign investors quickly identify where to spend research time — not where to spend money.

What is the Pulse Score?

The Pulse Score is TokyoInvestor’s smart investment signal — a number from 0 to 100 that summarises how a property compares across seven objective factors that matter most to long-term property investors in Tokyo.

It is not a recommendation to buy. It is a starting point for deeper research.

Score Tiers

Strong

70–100 points

Strong across most signals. Worth deeper research.

Consider

50–69 points

Mixed signals. Some strong factors offset by weaknesses.

Caution

0–49 points

Multiple risk factors present. Review the breakdown carefully.


The Seven Signals

Maximum 100 base points across seven components, with size-penalty and price-ceiling adjustments applied after.

1

Price per m² vs Ward Median

20 pts

We calculate each listing’s price per m² (floor area first; land area as fallback) and compare it to the ward’s median price per m² from our benchmark data (live MLIT transaction data coming soon). If floor area is unavailable, a neutral 10pts is applied.

More than 20% below ward median/m²20
10–20% below ward median/m²14
Within 10% of ward median/m²8
10–20% above ward median/m²2
More than 20% above ward median/m²0

Why it matters

Comparing total price to median total price is misleading — it penalises large properties and rewards small overpriced ones. Price per m² normalises for size, making the comparison meaningful.

2

Station Walk Time

15 pts

Tokyo property values are tightly correlated with walking distance to the nearest train station. We use the walk time listed on SUUMO.

5 minutes or less15
6–10 minutes11
11–15 minutes7
16–20 minutes3
Over 20 minutes0

Why it matters

Station proximity directly affects both resale value and rental yield. In Tokyo, each additional minute of walk time meaningfully impacts price.

3

Building Age

15 pts

Japan’s 1981 building code revision (新耐震基準, New Seismic Standard) is the most important structural dividing line. Post-2000 buildings meet modern standards.

2020 or newer15
2010–201911
2000–20098
1990–19994
Pre-19902

Why it matters

Older buildings carry higher maintenance costs, more complex rebuild rules, and stricter financing constraints for foreign buyers. Pre-1990 buildings can still be good investments — this signal reflects structural risk, not absolute value.

4

Ownership Type

15 pts

Whether the property comes with full land ownership (所有権 freehold) or a ground lease arrangement (借地権 leasehold) significantly affects long-term value and financing options.

Freehold (所有権)15
Leasehold (借地権)0

Why it matters

Leasehold properties in Japan come with land lease fees, fixed-term contracts, and significantly reduced resale markets. For foreign investors without local legal support, freehold is strongly preferable.

5

Rebuild Permission

10 pts

Whether the existing building can legally be demolished and rebuilt. Non-rebuildable properties (再建築不可) typically face road frontage restrictions under current building codes.

Rebuild permitted10
Rebuild restrictions apply0

Why it matters

Many older Tokyo properties sit on land classified as 再建築不可 (non-rebuildable) — typically because the road frontage is too narrow under current codes. These properties cannot be demolished and rebuilt, limiting long-term value and making financing difficult.

6

Estimated Rental Yield

15 pts

We estimate gross rental yield using ward-level rental benchmarks (rent per m² per month) applied to the property’s floor area and asking price. This is an estimate, not a verified rental listing. Actual rent depends on condition, fit-out, management quality, and market timing.

Est. gross yield ≥ 6.0%15
Est. gross yield 4.5%–5.9%12
Est. gross yield 3.5%–4.4%8
Est. gross yield 2.5%–3.4%4
Est. gross yield < 2.5%0
Floor area data unavailable5 (neutral)

Why it matters

Gross yield is the primary lens through which income-focused investors evaluate Tokyo property. Even if you don't plan to rent, yield reflects whether the price is supported by the property's income potential.

7

STR Zoning Potential

10 pts

Japan’s Minpaku law (民泊新法) allows short-term rentals nationally for up to 180 days per year, but individual wards impose tighter rules. This signal scores ward-level permissiveness only. Building bylaws (管理規約) can prohibit STR even in a permissive ward — always verify with building management before purchasing for rental purposes.

Permissive ward — up to 180 days/yr10
Moderate ward restrictions6
Significant ward restrictions3

Why it matters

Short-term rental income can significantly improve gross yield. But STR eligibility varies widely by ward. This signal scores how permissive the ward is — not whether this specific property can operate STR.

Adjustments

Applied after the seven signals are summed. These prevent micro-properties and ultra-premium listings from scoring deceptively high.

Size Penalty

Up to −15 pts

The score penalises small properties at high price points, which typically have limited resale audiences in Tokyo. Micro-properties appeal to a narrow buyer pool and carry higher vacancy risk for rental investors.

Floor area < 25 m²−15 pts
Floor area < 40 m² AND price > ¥5,000万−10 pts
All other sizes0 pts

Why it matters

A 20m² studio near Shinjuku might be freehold, near a station, and newly built — scoring well on all seven signals. But if it’s priced at ¥6,000万, it’s expensive per m² and has a very thin resale market. The penalty reflects this structural risk.

Ultra-Premium Price Ceiling

Cap at 65

Properties priced above ¥200,000,000 (¥2億) cannot score above 65, keeping them in the “Consider” tier at best. Very expensive properties have thinner buyer pools, longer typical exit timelines, and higher sensitivity to macro conditions.

Why it matters

This is not a statement that expensive properties are bad investments. It reflects the additional due diligence required at high price points — liquidity, financing options for foreign buyers, and exit market depth all need careful verification.

Leasehold Penalty

Cap at 55

Leasehold (借地権) properties earn 0 of the ownership points and take a further −15 point penalty (−10 for land), capped at a total of 55 — they cannot reach the “Strong” tier. You own the building but lease the land: most Japanese banks will not finance it, ground rent and renewal fees apply, and the resale market is far thinner.

Why it matters

A high headline score on a leasehold property is misleading — the financing and exit constraints are structural, not cosmetic. The penalty keeps leasehold out of “Strong” so the score reflects the real risk.


Land Property Scoring

Vacant land uses a dedicated 6-signal model — there is no building age, rental-yield or STR signal. Instead it weighs development potential, plot size, zoning and rebuild rights (100 points total), then adjusts for the MLIT fair-value gap so the score and the valuation can never contradict each other.

1

Land Price per m² vs Ward Median

Land ¥/m² vs the ward MLIT land median — ≤75% of median scores full, >110% scores zero. Where MLIT zoning gives a FAR (容積率), this compares price per buildable m² (land × FAR) against a 200%-FAR baseline, rewarding high-density plots.

25 pts
2

Rebuild Permission

New structure permitted = full; unverified scores just 3 — most land should have this confirmed.

20 pts
3

Station Proximity

Walking minutes to the nearest station (≤5 min scores full).

15 pts
4

Land Size

Buildable plot area — ≥150m² is strong development potential; under 50m² scores zero.

15 pts
5

Zone & Development Grade

Uses real MLIT zoning (用途地域) when available: Commercial zones score highest (hotel & mixed-use eligible), down to low-rise/agricultural residential-exclusive zones lowest. Falls back to ward investment grade when zoning is unmapped.

15 pts
6

Freehold Ownership

Freehold (所有権) land title scores full; leasehold or unverified scores zero.

10 pts
Fair-value gap

Price vs MLIT fair value. After the six signals are summed, the score is adjusted for how far the asking price sits from the MLIT fair value (ward median ¥/m² × land area). This is the guardrail against a high-FAR plot looking cheap per buildable m² while being far over fair value.

> 100% over → −20 pts & capped at 55 (can’t be Strong)> 50% over → −12 pts> 25% over → −6 pts> 10% over → −2 ptsWithin ±10% → no change> 10% below → +3 pts (genuine discount)

Applied only when MLIT ward data is available; the ¥200M ceiling below is applied after this.

Cap at 60

¥200M price ceiling. Land priced above ¥200,000,000 is capped at a total score of 60 — ultra-premium plots have a thinner buyer pool and longer exit timelines.


Important Limitations

Ward data is estimated

Until our MLIT API integration goes live, price comparisons are based on benchmark estimates, not verified transaction records.

The score is purely quantitative

It cannot assess renovation quality, neighbourhood character, management company reputation, or dozens of other factors experienced buyers consider.

A low score is not a red flag — it is a prompt

A pre-1990 leasehold property near Shibuya station might score 35 and still be a compelling buy for the right investor with the right legal team.

Always verify independently

Use a licensed real estate agent (宅建士), a judicial scrivener (司法書士), and ideally a building inspector before committing to any purchase.

Why We Built This

Most Tokyo property portals show you listings. They don’t help you compare them. As a foreign investor, you are operating in a language you may not read, in a legal system you may not understand, evaluating buildings under seismic codes you have never encountered.

The Pulse Score gives you a fast, honest signal to decide where to spend your research time — not where to spend your money. That decision still takes a professional.

Data sourced from SUUMO public listings. Ward benchmarks based on internal estimates; live MLIT transaction data coming soon. Last updated: June 2026.

TokyoInvestor is not a licensed real estate brokerage. This score is for research purposes only.